The final two weeks of the regular season. Here are the playoff scenarios we are watching for in week 12:
CLINCHED – PLAYOFF SEEDING AT STAKE
1. Bossman – Clinched a playoff berth and a first round bye. Clinches the #1 overall seed with a win or Rapids Plungers loss.
2. Rapids Plungers – Clinched a playoff berth. Can clinch a first round bye with a win or pack slayer failing to score more then 82.10 points then them.
3. pack slayer – Clinched a playoff berth. Can clinch a first round bye with a win and a loss by Rapids Plungers AND scoring 82.10 more points then Rapids Plungers. They clinch the #3 seed with a win.
4. Big Papa – Clinched a playoff berth. Can clinch a first round bye with a win AND a loss by Rapids Plungers AND scoring 188.47 more points then Rapids Plungers. They clinch the #3 seed with a win.
CLINCHING SCENARIOS
1. DaUnderdog – Clinches a playoff berth with a win OR teamAlaska failing to beat them by more then 47.08 points this week AND Pack Attack not outscoring them by more then 132.66 points this week AND U Don’t Know not outscoring them by more then 258.74 points this week.
2. HHH – Clinches a playoff berth with a win OR teamAlaska loss OR teamAlaska not outscoring them by 57.35 points this week AND DaUnderdog not outscoring them by 10.28 points this week AND Pack Attack not outscoring them by 142.93 points this week AND U Don’t Know not outscoring them by 269.01 points this week.
3. teamAlaska – Clinches a playoff berth with a win AND outscoring DaUnderdog by 47.08 points OR win and outscore HHH by 57.35 points this week.
4. Pack Attack – Clinches a playoff berth with a win, loss by DaUnderdog, outscoring DaUnderdog by more then 132.66 points OR win, loss by HHH, outscoring HHH by more then 142.93 points this week.
5. U Don’t Know – Clinches a playoff berth with a win, loss by DaUnderdog, outscoring DaUnderdog by more then 258.74 points AND outscoring Pack Attack by 126.10 points this week OR win, loss by HHH, outscoring HHH by more then 269.01 points this week AND outscoring Pack Attack by 126.10 points this week.
So if you had as much trouble reading some of that as I had writing it then I would suggest focusing on teamAlaska and their game because reality is that is the only one that probably matters 🙂
ELIMINATED
1. PackerFANatic7
2. 16hrs Ahead of You!!
3. BIGBOY!
4. Sportsfreak
5. PackMan12
Now that you know the playoff scenarios let’s get to the previews.
Pack Attack (6-6) vs Sportsfreak (4-8)
This has not been the year either of these two coaches expected. Sportsfreak clearly still hasn’t recovered from losing the Super Bowl in 2017 by 0.35 points and worst yet to their little brother who happens to coach BIGBOY!. Since that loss they are 7-18 so to say that loss didn’t have a lasting effect would be inaccurate. This is one of the older rivalries in the league so regardless of record each team is looking to get the win and in this case at least they would have that to talk about as they enter the consolation rounds!
Prediction:
Check out the Yahoo predictions for this one!
Historical Look at this Match-Up:
- Regular Season Match-ups: 18
- Record: Advantage Pack Attack at 11-7
- PPG Avg: Advantage Pack Attack 121.11 to 113.59
U Don’t Know (6-6) vs 16hrs Ahead of You!! (1-11)
U Don’t Know was able to stop their three game losing streak last week however they still have yet to score over 100 points in each of their past 3 games. Although they are not officially eliminated there isn’t really any way they are going to make the playoffs this year as their points scored are too low. They can finish with a winning record however and as I mentioned in the recap last week that would be significant for this team. 16hrs… well the good news is that there is only one game left. I do think if they stay engaged like they were this season that they will be looking at a much better year next year. For now though this one means absolutely nothing for them other then trying to double their win total!
Prediction:
Once 16hrs adjust their roster they might have a chance here but it is hard to pick them to win so I guess I won’t. Look for U Don’t Know to finish the season with back to back wins and back to back winning seasons for the first time ever.
Historical Look at this Match-Up:
- Regular Season Match-ups: 13
- Record: Advantage 16hrs Ahead of You!! at 7-6
- PPG Avg: Advantage 16hrs Ahead of You!! 100.14 to 99.65
Big Papa (8-4) vs pack slayer (8-4)
Here’s a fun one! Two teams that know they will be playing in the playoffs the only thing left is what seed will they get. pack slayer has a ever so slight chance to get a first round bye but the reality is that likely isn’t going to happen. With a win here they would lock up the #3 seed and possibly move Big Papa to the #6 which of course would mean these two teams would be playing again next week in the playoffs. For Big Papa they are looking to keep the momentum going from the past four weeks. They are coming off a week in which they just beat Rapids Plungers which gives them a ton of confidence heading into this meeting as well as the playoffs. Despite the 4 game winning streak I was a bit skeptical of this team overall. The win last week against Rapids and the fact that they did it without Mahomes was impressive. That was Big Papa’s first and only win against the current playoff teams so a win here and solidifying the #3 seed would be impressive and necessary for me to consider this a legitimate championship caliber team.
Prediction:
Yahoo projections obviously don’t mean much but I do find it interesting as they have this projected to be the closest game of the week and to be within a point. There are some of the best players at their positions going head to head. Mahomes, M. Thomas, Kittle, Fournette, Henry.. that should make for a fun game. I think Big Papa actually wins this one. Mahomes may have 50 points against a Raiders secondary that just gave up 30 points to Sam Darnold. Look for Big Papa to pull off the win and lock in that #3 spot!
Historical Look at this Match-Up:
- Regular Season Match-ups: 8
- Record: Advantage Big Papa at 5-3
- PPG Avg: Advantage Big Papa 121.53 to 114.95
Bossman (10-2) vs BIGBOY! (4-8)
Bossman will be looking to close out the season with a win which would be their 9th win in a row! They have been pushing all the right buttons, making all the right moves and will be hoping for more of that as they move into the playoffs. They first need to take care of business here and solidify that #1 overall seed. For BIGBOY! this was for sure not how they envisioned their quest to become the first team ever to three-peat. They had a good run but it ends this week. It is interesting that it would end by them playing Bossman who right now seems like the favorite to win the championship. Is this a passing of the torch / trophy?
Prediction:
BIGBOY! doesn’t have enough firepower to keep up with Bossman. I think Bossman dominates this one making sure that they go into the playoffs on a high note!
Historical Look at this Match-Up:
- Regular Season Match-ups: 9
- Record: Advantage BIGBOY! at 5-4
- PPG Avg: Advantage Bossman 121.49 to 118.53
DaUnderdog (7-5) vs teamAlaska (6-6)
As I was writing the recap last week I didn’t realize that teamAlaska would be playing the current #6 seed this week which once I learned that I couldn’t wait to look at this game. The part that clearly works into DaUnderdog’s favor is that a win by teamAlaska doesn’t guarantee them anything because they need to win BIG! How Big? Well… they need to beat DaUnderdog by 47.08 points! Yes, that is a lot however not out of the question for a team to beat another team by that much. It is always fun when you have a game like this to decide the playoffs! So can teamAlaska do it? Or will DaUnderdog prove they belong in the field of 6!
Prediction:
Well.. I am going to add to the drama a bit and say that I think teamAlaska wins this one. I have said it before but they have the ultimate weapon on their side in McCaffrey who as you all know is a guy that can break 40 + points on any given day! He gets an easy matchup against WSH so I expect a big game. Now here comes the next question.. will teamAlaska win by 47.08 points!?… NO! I don’t think so. I think that DaUnderdog ends up sneaking into the playoffs as the #6 seed.
Historical Look at this Match-Up:
- Regular Season Match-ups: 15
- Record: Advantage DaUnderdog at 10-5
- PPG Avg: Advantage DaUnderdog 113.46 to 96.71
Rapids Plungers (9-3) vs HHH (7-5)
This is another game that could be a potential second round playoff meeting. HHH is coming off a tough loss last week to Sportsfreak and they don’t want to go into the playoffs with a losing streak! The same could be said for Rapids Plungers as they want to build some momentum heading into the playoffs. A loss here to HHH combined with their historically terrible playoff history it would be really hard to call this team a favorite to win the league. I should mention that HHH hasn’t technically sealed a playoff spot however given their amount of points scored it would take a lot of bad luck and a terrible week for them to miss the playoffs.
Prediction:
I think Rapids Plungers gets back to winning again this week and in the process sends a playoff team to their second straight loss along with a big hit to their confidence! The win will also seal the first round bye for Rapids Plungers.
Historical Look at this Match-Up:
- Regular Season Match-ups: 11
- Record: Advantage pack slayer at 8-3
- PPG Avg: Advantage pack slayer 116.90 to 93.98
PackMan12 (5-7) vs PackerFANatic7 (3-9)
Both of these two teams are looking to build some momentum for next year and in the case of PackerFANatic7 they are looking for a win and some help just to get themselves into the consolation round. PackMan12 really has to be looking at this one as a lost season considering they started out 4-2 and since then have gone 1-5 including a current 4 game losing streak. A win here would at least break that streak and give them a little confidence but they haven’t showed many signs of life these past few weeks.
Prediction:
I don’t like the way that PackMan12 team has been playing and they appear to have mailed it in whereas PackerFANatic7 is certainly doing their best to get the best players out there and win some games. I think PackerFANatic7 finds a way to get the win.
Historical Look at this Match-Up:
- Regular Season Match-ups: 2
- Record: Tied at 1-1
- PPG Avg: Advantage PackMan12 124.56 to 109.66