I need to start this out by saying in the 15 years I have been doing this I am not sure I have seen this happen before at least not with how important of a game it was and the ramifications this had. So what is it? A stat correction. Yes, if you haven’t seen yet and I am breaking the news there was a stat correction to DJ Swearing Sr as they took away a sack and solo tackle from his stat line. That correction took away 5.6 points from Bossman and also took away the previous 4 point win for Bossman. Instead it gave Big Papa a 2 point win. This is HUGE! As it severely hurts Bossman’s playoff chances and it gives Big Papa new life on their season as now if they win the next two games they have a shot! Crazy.

This change also clinched a playoff spot for HHH. This is how we are starting out week 11. I get the sense that we are in for a fun week.

My Prediction Record to Date:
33-26

Playoff Scenarios:
U Don’t Know – Clinched Playoff Berth. Can Clinch a first round bye with a win or a loss by HHH.  Can clinch the #1 overall seed with a win.
PackMan12 – Clinched a playoff berth. Can clinch a first round bye with a win and a loss by HHH.
HHH – Clinched a playoff berth.
Rapids Plungers – Can clinch a playoff spot with a win.

Eliminated from Playoff Contention:
Sportsfreak
teamAlaska
***These are the two officially eliminated teams. The 4-7 teams would need a miracle finish to make it in so technically they have yet to be eliminated***

 

Pack Attack (6-5) vs DaUnderdog (4-7)

The playoffs began last week for Pack Attack as they are in must win mode from here on out. Yes, they technically could lose another game and not be eliminate and still have a shot but they won’t win many tie-breakers and the formula is simple. Win the next two games and you are in. Lost once and then you start needing help. DaUnderdog hasn’t officially been eliminated yet but this falls into the category of “So you are telling me there is a chance”. They will look to finish strong regardless of playoff status.

Prediction:
Check out the Yahoo predictions for this one.

Historical Look at this Match-Up
Pack Attack holds a 11-6  lead in their previous 17 meetings. Pack Attack also holds the edge in ppg, 126.16 – 105.84.


BIGBOY! (6-5) vs 16hrs Ahead of You!! (4-7)

BIGBOY! is coming off of two straight losses and is suddenly in a near must win situation. I say “near” because I think this team gets into the playoffs with 7 wins based on their points scored. That of course is not a for sure and I know BIGBOY! wants nothing to do with leaving that to chance so the formula is simple for them as well. Win the next two games and you are in! 16hrs will be looking to play the role if spoiler and I guess like I have said for the other 4 win teams.. they are not officially eliminated yet. Can 16hrs send BIGBOY! to their 3rd straight loss?

Prediction:
I don’t think so. BIGBOY! is going to be without their star QB in Mahomes but 16hrs is also without their star RB in Hunt as they are both on byes. 16hrs has yet to adjust his lineup so I am not 100% sure exactly who will be starting for them but either way I just don’t see the defending champ losing this game. BIGBOY! gets win #7 this week!

Historical Look at this Match-Up:
BIGBOY! holds a 6-2 lead in their previous 8 meetings. BIGBOY! also holds the ppg edge, 126.66 to 103.56.

 

Big Papa (5-6) vs teamAlaska (1-10)

Well I had this preview all wrote up and it was pretty boring as I thought Big Papa really didn’t have a realistic shot at the playoffs but now the news of the stat correction and them now sitting at 5 wins instead of 4 changes everything. This suddenly becomes a HUGE game for Big Papa and they now have something legitimately to play for. teamAlaska will be looking to play the role of spoiler and try and pull themselves out of the cellar in the final two weeks!

Prediction:
I got Big Papa getting the big win ensuring themselves that they will have something to play for the final week of the season!

Historical Look at this Match-Up
Big Papa holds a 9-6 lead in their previous 12 meetings. Big Papa also holds the ppg lead, 119.22 to 110.12.

 

Bossman (5-6) vs pack slayer (5-6)

This was going to be a big game no matter what but now with the stat correction it means both teams are in the same spot. Lose and your season is likely over. Yes, pack slayer is in a much better spot overall if they can figure out a way to win these next two games and that is because of their high amount of points scored but as soon as you lose that 7th game of the season your hopes of the playoffs likely are gone. So can Bossman overcome one of the craziest stat correction game reversals I have ever seen? Or can pack slayer find a way to win coming off that devastating loss to PackMan12 from a week ago?

Prediction:
I am sticking with my initial pick of pack slayer in this one but I am not feeling that confident in the pick. However, in my opinion this one will be decided after today’s games. pack slayer has two of their top weapons going (Julio Jones and Matt Ryan) while Bossman has Mark Ingram along with a number of other role players going today. If this game is within 10 points after the Thursday games I think pack slayer is in trouble.

Historical Look at this Match-Up
Bossman holds a 4-3 lead in their previous 7 meetings. Bossman also holds the ppg edge, 125.30 – 114.58.

 

HHH (8-3) vs Sportsfreak (2-9)

HHH still has a lot to play for despite the fact they got the good news that they are now officially in the playoffs. They are still battling for one of those two first round byes. I don’t need to tell you how important that is to winning a potential championship! So despite the fact that this game means nothing to Sportsfreak it is another big game for HHH and one that they will do everything they can to get the win. Sportsfreak is just riding out the schedule at this point and trying to keep their mind focus on other things like deer hunting and eating a lot of good food on Thanksgiving. When the conversations turn to Fantasy Football over the Thanksgiving dinner this team unfortunately may have to go play with the kids as they won’t have much to say unless of course they want to discuss how to lose games!

Prediction:
I got HHH getting the win in this one to keep their hopes alive for that bye week!

Historical Look at this Match-Up
Each team has won 8 games in their previous 16 meetings against each other so this one is to break the tie. HHH holds a slight ppg edge, 115.57 to 114.16. That’s about as close as you can get after 16 meetings!


PackerFANatic7 (5-6) vs Rapids Plungers (7-4)

This is one of the more intriguing matchups of the week. Rapids Plungers is coming off a dominating effort last week and is looking to keep that momentum going. Not to mention, they can clinch a playoff spot with a win! PackerFANatic7 is coming off an impressive 72 point win over Sportsfreak. Here is where the intrigue comes in for me. This is a must win for PackerFANatic7, for Rapids Plungers they need to win one of their next two games to ensure a spot. The urgency maybe isn’t quite there however if PackerFANatic7 figures out a way to win this one, Rapids Plungers has a tough matchup with HHH the following week and then things suddenly get really interesting. This is a game that Rapids Plungers wants, I don’t think they want anything to do with this coming down to the last week of the season.

Prediction:
I picked Rapids Plungers to get this win in my final three weeks prediction and I am going to stick with that. This is going to come down to the start and how they perform. I think the winner of this meeting is going to have one of their star players put up 30 + points. The first person to get a stab at that is Ezekial Elliott for PackerFANatic7. This one may come down to the wire with Dalvin Cook and Mason Crosby on Sunday night.

Historical Look at this Match-UP
Rapids Plungers dominated their one and only meeting so far by the score of 125.72 to 78.02.

 

PackMan12 (9-2) vs U Don’t Know (10-1)

A Super Bowl preview? Possibly. Yes, both of these teams are securely in the playoffs and are guaranteed to finish in the top 3 BUT this becomes a big game because a win here and U Don’t Know clinches the #1 overall seed and a first round bye. A loss and they have to win next week just to ensure the first round bye (depending on what HHH does this week). There is a lot on the line this week and I think the biggest thing is that first round bye. The # 1 seed is nice and good for bragging rights but the bye is the most important.

Prediction:
Both of these two teams are missing big time weapons. PackMan12 is without Tyreek Hill and U Don’t Know is without Gurley and Robert Woods and not to mention Kerryon Johnson is also now out due to injury. U Don’t Know has figured out ways to win all season so it wouldn’t surprise me at all to see them get this win however I am once again sticking with my initial pick and going with PackMan12 to win and make the last week of the season that much more interesting.

Historical Look at this Match-Up
PackMan12 holds a 5-2 lead in their previous 7 meetings. PackMan12 also holds the ppg edge, 127.45 – 105.10.

Happy Thanksgiving to each of you and I hope that you all have a great day hunting, eating and watching some football with your friends and family!

Enjoy the games everyone!